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QuantEco DART Index Economic recovery consolidates
In a further corroboration of reviving economic activity, our proprietary DART (Daily Activity and Recovery Tracker) Index rose by 10.5%WoW in the week ending 13th Jun-21
INR: Dollar Correlation and REER Overvaluation Analysis
Analysis of the INR's correlation with the dollar and REER overvaluation, providing a detailed perspective and outlook. Download the QuantEco report for more information.
Economic Report: CPI Inflation Trends and Forecast
QuantEco forecasts CPI inflation to average between 5.5-6.0% in the remaining four months of FY22, compared to an average of 5.2% in the first eight months of the fiscal year. Potential inflation risks from Omicron warrant close monitoring.
India's Industrial Production Growth
India's industrial production grew by 3.2% annually, almost flat compared to September 2021's 3.3%, according to a recent report.
India Inflation Outlook: Decoding the Inflation Conundrum
CPI inflation is likely to average close to 5.0% in FY22, not far from RBI's recently revised estimate of 5.1%. This will definitely come as a reprieve compared to FY21 average inflation of 6.2%. However, increasingly this outlook of probable…
QuantEco DART Index - Economic activity turns a corner
Our proprietary Daily Activity & Index Tracker (DART) Index for the Indian economy estimates economic activity to have posted its first material uptick in 12 weeks.
India Growth: The consumption snag
Our expectation of consumption recovery looking more tempered now than in FY21, is based on three conditions 1) Forced or involuntary savings getting replaced by precautionary savings 2) Exhaustion of some part of pent-up demand last year and 3)…
QuantEco DART Index - Economic activity continues to descend
Our proprietary Daily Activity & Index Tracker (DART) Index for the Indian economy estimates economic activity to have descended with the pace of slowdown continuing to ease. On a WoW basis, the index contracted by 5.4% compared to -6.3% in the…
QuantEco Research's Analysis of Mar-21 IIP Data for India
QuantEco Research's analysis of India's Mar-21 industrial production (IIP) data reveals a substantial double-digit expansion, boosted by a favorable base and seasonality.
India Apr - 21 CPI: The inflation antithesis
We continue to expect CPI inflation to moderate towards 5.0% in FY22 from 6.2% in FY21 as expectation of normal monsoon/ bumper harvest, likelihood of downward adjustment in fuel taxes, and favorable base effect would offset the upside emanating…